OVERALL (W/L): Projected total wins and losses during the regular season.CONFERENCE (W/L): Projected conference wins and losses during the regular season.That isn’t us adjusting numbers behind the scenes it’s just the result of variance in our season simulations, which re-run daily even in the preseason. Even before the season starts, the numbers here may differ slightly from those on the college basketball projections page. We will not be updating this post in the future see our college basketball projections page for the latest projections we have. So, some of the win-loss records below are bound to be wrong in terms of number of actual games played. Team schedules hopefully will not change as frequently as they did last season, but some games will probably be canceled or postponed because of COVID-19. Our preseason win-loss record projections only account for already scheduled games, so they will be missing some early-season tournament games where opponents have yet to be determined. Other than that, just keep in mind the following two notes: Once there, be sure to also check out the team Bracketology link at the top of the page. 2021-22 College Basketball Projected Standings (Preseason)įor a lot more info on any team, click their name in the associated conference table below to view their season projections page.
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Gonzaga yet again leads the way as the strongest favorite to win its conference, tied with last year’s Patriot League champion, Colgate. Last year, we had only five projected conference champions with at least a 50 percent chance of winning the regular-season title, so there are more strong favorites among the non-power conferences this season. Outside the major conferences, eight schools have a 49 percent or better chance of winning their regular-season conference title. Texas, narrowly projected as the favorite ahead of Kansas, last won a share of the conference regular-season title in 2007-08.UCLA, the projected Pac-12 favorite, last won the conference regular-season title in 2012-13.Alabama is the favorite in the SEC, but at 17 percent, it has the shortest odds of any of these projected conference winners.Three teams are repeating as our preseason favorites to win their respective conferences: Houston and Villanova, who did win their conferences last year, and Duke, who definitely did not.Last year, four of our seven projected regular-season winners actually won the conference, more than you would have expected based on our odds estimates.Here are our projected regular-season winners for the major conferences, along with their win odds: Projections Highlights: Conference Winner Odds Even during the preseason, these same values on the rest of the site may differ slightly from day to day, as there is some randomness used in the projections.
NOTE: All data in this post is from November 3, 2021. You’ll find:īut first, let’s point out a few highlights from our 2021-22 college basketball preseason projected standings. There’s a lot of info in the individual conference tables below. This post has our preseason predictions for each conference. Our 2021-22 College Basketball Projections Data
BIG 12 CONFERENCE COLLEGE BASKETBALL TEAMS UPDATE
That page will have projected conference records and overall regular-season records, plus conference regular-season title odds and conference tournament win odds.Īll of these projections are data-driven and automated, and they update every morning throughout the season to incorporate the previous day’s game results. You can find daily updates at our College Basketball Projected Conference Standings page.
BIG 12 CONFERENCE COLLEGE BASKETBALL TEAMS FULL
That means we also now have full 2021-22 college basketball projected standings for all teams. We have published our official 2021 College Basketball Preseason Ratings. Johnny Juzang and UCLA will try to build on last year's Final Four run (Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)
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